Homebuilder confidence and GDP

Joe Wiesenthal reported on November 19, 2012, at Business Insider  that the big economic datapoint of the day is homebuilder sentiment. This National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) index is at its highest level since 2006. The chart below compares the NAHB Hombebuilder Sentiment index with the share of gross development product (GDP) attributed residential construction (with a 12-month lag). This surge in positive sentiment could foreshadow a significant increase in economic activity n the USA.

 

H. Pike Oliver

Born and raised in the San Francisco Bay Area, H. Pike Oliver has worked on real estate development strategies and master-planned communities since the early 1970s, including nearly eight years at the Irvine Company. He resided in the City of Irvine for five years in the 1980s and nine years in the 1990s.

As the founder and sole proprietor of URBANEXUS, Oliver works on advancing equitable and sustainable real estate development and natural lands management. He is also an affiliate instructor at the Runstad Department of Real Estate at the University of Washington.

Early in his career, Oliver worked for public agencies, including the California Governor’s Office of Planning and Research where he was a principal contributor to An Urban Strategy for California. Prior to relocating to Seattle in 2013, Oliver taught real estate development at Cornell University and directed the undergraduate program in urban and regional studies. He is a member of the Urban Land Institute, the American Planning Association and a founder and emeritus member of the California Planning Roundtable.

Oliver is a graduate of the urban studies and planning program at San Francisco State University and earned a master’s degree in urban planning at UCLA.

https://urbanexus.com
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Real estate cap rates in the USA - October 2012