The Feasibility of High-Speed Rail -- Short Answer

Many young folks interested in improving connectivity between metropolitan regions wonder whether high-speed trains might be the answer.  Unfortunately, fast trains are unlikely to be the solution. Here is what I wrote to a student who asked about the feasibility of high-speed rail. High-speed rail may make sense in the northeast corridor of the USA, but not elsewhere. The challenge is having enough density of origins and destinations. You need both, just like with urban transit.

A good portion of this travel market is price sensitive. This is why the new, inexpensive, bus operators are seeing strong demand for medium distance inter-city travel.

Essentially, high-speed rail is a high-cost service that only a small percentage of the market can afford. You need a large higher density corridor for that relatively small niche that can afford it to amount to enough demand to make high-speed rail work.

High-Spped Rail Corridor Designations

H. Pike Oliver

Born and raised in the San Francisco Bay Area, H. Pike Oliver has worked on real estate development strategies and master-planned communities since the early 1970s, including nearly eight years at the Irvine Company. He resided in the City of Irvine for five years in the 1980s and nine years in the 1990s.

As the founder and sole proprietor of URBANEXUS, Oliver works on advancing equitable and sustainable real estate development and natural lands management. He is also an affiliate instructor at the Runstad Department of Real Estate at the University of Washington.

Early in his career, Oliver worked for public agencies, including the California Governor’s Office of Planning and Research where he was a principal contributor to An Urban Strategy for California. Prior to relocating to Seattle in 2013, Oliver taught real estate development at Cornell University and directed the undergraduate program in urban and regional studies. He is a member of the Urban Land Institute, the American Planning Association and a founder and emeritus member of the California Planning Roundtable.

Oliver is a graduate of the urban studies and planning program at San Francisco State University and earned a master’s degree in urban planning at UCLA.

https://urbanexus.com
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